WEATHER UPDATE as of 11PM: Typhoon "LAWIN" intensifies as it moves towards Northern Luzon

Satellite Images courtesy of PAG-ASA | By Harold Ayao

MANILA, Philippines - Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAG-ASA) has issued its Weather Bulletin Advisory #6 tonight at 11 PM, Manila time showing as typhoon "Lawin"  has intensified as it continues to move in the general direction of Northern Luzon. According to the Weather Bureau "Lawin"  is expected to intensify further before making landfall.

According to the latest data, It is expected to make landfall over Cagayan Area  by Thursday early morning (Oct. 20) then will cross Apayao and Ilocos Norte, they are monitoring "Lawin" to be out of Philippine Area of Responsibility on Friday early morning (Oct. 21).

Location of Eye/Center: (as of 10:00 p.m.)	755 km East of Baler, Aurora
Coordinates:	15.7°N, 128.6°E
Strength:	Maximum sustained winds of up to 195 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 240 kph
Movement:	Forecast to move West Northwest at 25 kph
Forecast Positions/Outlook:	24 Hour( Tomorrow evening): 190 km East Northeast of Casiguran, Aurora(17.0°N, 123.7°E) 48 Hour(Thursday evening):250 km West Northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte(19.0°N, 118.4°E) 72 Hour(Friday evening): 725 km West Northwest of Basco, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR)(22.7°N,115.4°E) 96 Hour(Saturday evening):915 km Northwest of Basco, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR)(26.4°N,115.8 °E) 120 Hour(Sunday evening):1,000 km North Northwest of Basco, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR)(29.0°N,119.0°E)

Below are the areas under Tropical Warning Signal.

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SIGNAL
TCWS	Luzon	Visayas	Mindanao	Impact of the wind
2 (61-120 kph Expected in 24 hours)	Cagayan, Isabela and Northern Aurora			·         Light to Moderate damage to high risk structures; ·         Very light to light damage to medium-risk structures; ·         No damage to very light damage to low risk structures ·         Unshielded, old dilapidated schoolhouses, makeshift shanties, and other structures of light materials are partially damaged or unroofed. ·         A number of nipa and cogon houses may be partially or totally unroofed. ·         Some old galvanized iron (G.I.) roofs may be peeled or blown off. ·         Some wooden, old electric posts are tilted or downed. ·         Some damage to poorly constructed signs/billboards ·         In general, the winds may bring light to moderate damage to the exposed communities. Most banana plants, a few mango trees, ipil-ipil and similar types of trees are downed or broken. ·         Some coconut trees may be tilted with few others broken. ·         Rice and corn may be adversely affected. Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some heavy-foliaged trees blown down.
	Wave Height: (Open Sea) 4.1-14.0 meters      Storm surge possible at coastal areas
1 (30-60 kph Expected in 36 hours)	Calayan group of Islands, Batanes group of Islands, Isabela,  Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Apayao, Abra, Kalinga, Mt. Province, Ifugao, La Union, Benguet, Tarlac, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Pangasinan, Nueva Ecija,    Rest of Aurora, Zambales, Pampanga, Bulacan, Northern Quezon including Polillo Islands, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur and Catanduanes			Very light or no damage to low risk structures, Light damage to medium to high risk structures Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged Twigs of small trees may be broken. Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.
	Wave Height: (Open Sea) 1.25-4.0 meters
The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next weather bulletin to be issued at 5 AM today.